I sell bags with 26 letter variations (A to Z). I'm pushing SKU "M" (the most popular letter) for a main keyword using exact match SP ads. I get about 10 orders a day from that keyword, but only 2 of them are for M – the other 8 are for other letters like C, D, E, because people click the ad on M but then pick a different letter.
A keyword tool (like Helium 10) says I need around 80 orders over 8 days (10/day) to get to page 1 for this keyword. But M only gets 2 direct orders a day.
My questions:
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With only 2 direct orders for M per day (plus 8 indirect on other variations), can M ever get to page 1 organically? What should I change in my ad setup?
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When someone clicks the ad on M but buys C, does M get any keyword credit? If yes, any rough idea how much – like 10%? 30%? I'm trying to figure out how many "effective" orders M is really getting and how many more direct orders I need.
Would love to hear from anyone who's dealt with variation keyword attribution. Thanks.
Answers (3)
Comment 3 – from a seller who likes to run the numbers
If you want a rough estimate, here's how I'd think about it.
Assume a 20% weight for indirect orders (middle of the range). With 2 direct orders and 8 indirect, M's effective daily orders ≈ 2 + (8 × 0.2) = 3.6 orders/day. The tool says you need about 10 effective orders per day. So you're at roughly 36% of the required weight.
To get M to page 1, you need to increase direct orders significantly – aim for 6‑8 direct orders a day for 1‑2 weeks. Combine that with the ad isolation and listing tweaks above. You can also try off‑site promos (like social media discount codes) sending traffic directly to M's URL – that boosts organic weight without messing with ad attribution.
Track your keyword rank daily. If M's organic position starts moving up, you're on the right track. If not, check whether another variation (maybe a different letter) has already taken that organic spot – you might need to accept that and pivot to that variation as your main target.
Comment 2 – from a seller who's optimized multi‑variation ads
Here's what I'd do to get M to page 1:
This won't fix everything overnight, but it'll shift more weight to M.
I've dealt with this before. A couple of things to keep in mind:
So yeah, M is getting some credit, but not nearly as much as a direct sale.